SACW #2 | 2 Jul 2004 [India: Economy / Reforms / People]
Harsh Kapoor
aiindex at mnet.fr
Thu Jul 1 22:03:12 CDT 2004
South Asia Citizens Wire - Dispatch #2 | 2 July, 2004
via: www.sacw.net
[1] Humane Mask - Full of reform buffs, the
government is unlikely to address inequality
(Ashok Mitra)
[2] Jai Kisan! not Jai Jawan, Jai Kisan! (Aseem Shrivastava)
[3] Will Congress rule slow down reforms? (Kamal Munir)
[4] An Open Letter To The Finance Minister (Vandana Shiva)
[5] Andhra Pradesh: Beyond Media Images (K Balagopal)
--------------
[1]
The Telegraph
June 29, 2004
HUMANE MASK
- Full of reform buffs, the government is unlikely to address inequality
Ashok Mitra
Who is afraid of the common minimum programme?
Certainly not the Washington Consensus put
together by the World Bank and the International
Monetary Fund. For it, the personalities crammed
in the package of prime minister-finance
minister-deputy chairman of the Planning
Commission constitute a dream team. For pushing
ahead with economic "reforms", the three
gentlemen have impeccable credentials. They have
not lost any time to disclose these credentials.
The wellbeing of the financial market, they have
gone on record, will receive their highest
priority. Privatization and disinvestment will
continue; minor irritants will be ignored. The
nonsense of subsidy for the poor will be
dispensed with, but not subsidy for the rich, the
principle of which is mirrored so dazzlingly by
the Central Electricity Act, 2003. While the new
government is deeply worried over the increase of
the "food subsidy burden", the CMP's anxiety to
"unleash the creative energies of our
entrepreneurs" is a one hundred per cent echo of
July 1991.
So what, some will say; has not the CMP pledged
that the reforms henceforth will bear a "human
face"? One or two chief ministers with alleged
links to the left are bowled over. It would be
sheer cruelty to inform them that the expression
"development with a human face" is a patent owned
by the World Bank. Thirty years ago, it had come
out with a publication, Redistribution With
Growth, a pristine example, if there was one, of
pretended self-flagellation: so sorry, the
measures we recommended had caused regrettable
inequalities here and there; the bank would now
make amends. Since then, the World Bank and its
sister institutions have continued to discover
poverty in this far-flung world; their
poverty-enhancing measures, otherwise known as
economic reforms, have not been under any
restraint either.
The new government, overfull with reforms buffs
has, in World Bank-esque contrition, admitted
that reforms till now have aggravated social and
economic inequalities in the country. It has
promised, again a la Fund-Bank, to do something
about it.To begin with, it has decided to address
the problem of rural poverty by doubling bank
credit to the agricultural sector in the course
of the next three years.
Whom are these gentlemen fooling? Doubling farm
credit will not necessarily reduce poverty; it
could actually increase landlessness and rural
misery. Rich farmers might avail of the
additional credit to buy up smallholders, who
would be thrown to the wolves. Some obvious
measures, essential for stemming further
immiserization in the countryside, should have
been, but are not, listed in the CMP. These are,
for instance, (a) increasing several-fold public
investment in agriculture, including in
irrigation, land reforms and rural
infrastructures; (b) invoking Article 18B of the
World Trade Organization treaty and asserting the
nation's right to enforce quantitative and other
restrictions on agricultural imports; (c) giving
directives, through the instrumentalities of the
Finance and Planning Commissions, for
wide-ranging land reforms; and (d) ensuring
supply of power, fertilizer and seeds to small
farmers and sharecroppers at subsidized rates.
But, then, such suggestions are likely to
scandalize the "reformers".
The budget is round the corner. There is though
hardly any mention in the CMP of the sombre truth
that, in order to re-situate India on the growth
path and, at the same time, generate adequate
employment in the system, public investment, not
just in agriculture but in industry and
infrastructure too, must go up several times. The
Bank-Fund obsession with fiscal deficit will,
however, frown at any talk of augmented public
expenditure, and the new government, for dear
life, has to be on the right side of the
Washington institutions.
Attaining the target of an 8 per cent annual rate
of growth in gross domestic product is a cliché
everybody loves to iterate and reiterate. The CMP
is no exception. Few however seem to be
interested in analysing the morphology of such a
rate of growth. At the theoretical level, an 8
per cent growth for the economy as a whole is
conceivable, even with zero growth in both
agriculture and industry, in case, the services
sector grows, say, at the rate of 16 per cent. As
the experience of the past decade-and-a-half
reveals, a spurt of growth in the services sector
might however lead not to an increase, but a net
diminution, in employment. A pattern of growth
which concentrates exclusively on overall GDP
growth, but does not care where or how it takes
place, could render uneven the distribution of
national income and assets even further; it will,
alas, have no worthwhile "human face" about it.
The 2004 electoral verdict has been against
communalizing the polity and against mindless
economic reforms which do not advance, but in
effect reduce, overall social welfare. The
verdict has yet another dimension: it has cut
down to size the two major national parties. The
emerging trend is glaringly clear: the regional
parties are increasingly coming to the fore. In
several states, the national parties have in fact
obtained the relatively large number of seats
they have because of the munificence of this or
that regional party. Whether lotus-eaters in New
Delhi realize it or not, the nation is moving
towards a federal polity.
In the light of this development, it should have
been one of the primary tasks of the CMP to lay
out a blueprint for a thoroughgoing
re-structuring of Centre-state relations,
including a probe into the reasons why the
recommendations of the Sarkaria Commission, made
nearly two decades ago, have remained a dead
letter. No concrete measures to correct the
existing imbalances, including fiscal imbalances,
between the Centre and the states are proposed by
the CMP. Instead, it talks of yet another
commission, the best possible device to bury the
problem.
Etching the economic contours of a federal
republic is not part of its agenda; on the
contrary, the CMP plunges in the reverse
direction. It has pledged the speedy introduction
of a uniform value added tax for the entire
country. There is seemingly little awareness that
the VAT as proposed is a substitution, lock,
stock and barrel, of sales taxation, the
principal revenue-raising source of the state
governments. Despite their current precarious
financial position, the states are being asked to
surrender their major revenue-raising instrument
and thereby become totally dependent on the
Centre's mercy. This process of throttling the
sales tax system is by no means going to be an
afternoon's picnic. The subterfuge of moving an
amendment to the existing sales tax legislation
in the state assemblies will not do; the VAT is
not just another version of the sales tax, it is
a totally different kind of animal. To effect the
crossover, an amendment to the Constitution would
be called for. Kesavanand Bharati too could cast
its shadow; questions might be raised over the
legality if a constitutional amendment disturbs
the basic structure of the Constitution.
Such issues will not go away. The new government
will perhaps proceed nonchalantly despite
objections raised by its constituents or others
on this or that matter. It could proceed
nonchalantly since the left have already made the
commitment, come hell or high water, they will
see to it that the regime lasts for five years.
In that situation, whatever the government does,
the left could only watch helplessly from the
sidelines.
Who knows, the new government has presumably
finetuned an arrangement for division of spoils.
While the economic ministries will play to the
tune of the mentors in Washington DC, the
ministry of human resource development will throw
freebies of secularism toward the direction of
the radical crowd at home.
There will be, now and then, also some
perfunctory talk of raising public expenditure on
education and health to 6 per cent and 3 per cent
of the GDP respectively. The government, as
earnest of its anxiety to project a "human face",
will agree in principle. Difficulties will
however immediately rear their head: health and
education are important, but defence and security
compulsions cannot be wished away either. The
left will be frozen by fear: the human face would
be persuaded to hide itself for the present.
_____
[2]
www.sacw.net | 23 June 2004
Jai Kisan! not Jai Jawan, Jai Kisan!
by Aseem Shrivastava
URL: www.sacw.net/Nation/aseemJun23_2004.html
_____
[3]
Dawn
26 June 2004
Will Congress rule slow down reforms?
By Kamal Munir
Despite the hue and cry over the recent Indian
election, and the endless rhetoric about the
'fall of the fascists', it is quite incredible
how little has actually changed in India. In this
sense, the people of India, who have the
thankless job of voting one government out only
to get it back in a different guise, deserve our
sympathy.
Take the votes for instance. Although Congress
has increased its seats from 112 to 145, its
share of the national vote has actually declined
from 28.3 to 26.7 per cent. With 138 seats, the
BJP, whose vote share declined from almost 24 per
cent to 22 per cent, is only marginally smaller
than Congress in the Lok Sabha. That this vote
represents a massive backlash against the
pro-free-market policies and an increasingly
elitist stance of the BJP is agreed upon by all
and sundry, including the BJP hardliners. That
this is far from being a ringing endorsement of
the Indian Congress Party (I) is equally clear
from the numbers.
The story told by numbers is echoed by a
qualitative assessment of the way Congress is
likely to function in power. That Sonia Gandhi
has declined the prime ministership, or Manmohan
Singh has been put in charge of India's new
government are issues of marginal importance.
What matters is that the Congress is subject to
pressures that are uncannily similar to those
which influenced BJP policies.
On one hand of the Congress stands the Indian
Left, which, given its highly 'pragmatic'
approach to the market in the past can at most
serve to delay rather than halt India's
pro-market policies. On the other is the
globalization imperative in the form of WTO
regulations and the highly attractive lure of IT
exports. The Indian left, with 62 seats, has a
decisive influence on the policies of the
Congress.
That they have declined ministerial posts and
retained their independence only goes to their
credit. But they lack a viable alternative. All
they can do is drag their feet when the Congress
begins to privatize what remains of the Indian
state and altogether remove the door which the
BJP opened.
That the Congress will do that is already clear,
with Manmohan Singh declaring his intention to go
with the state or the private sector, depending
on which is more 'efficient.' Since efficiency
was not why the world decided to put certain
firms and sectors in state control in the first
place, Singh's selected criterion reveals his
intentions to continue with the IMF policy he
implemented in 1991 in return for their loan.
India's tryst with globalization has developed a
strong dynamic of its own. The Congress will find
it difficult to resist it. The impressive success
of the Indian IT sector, perhaps the leading
beneficiary of liberalization, has served to
produce a stark digital divide in the country.
The vast majority of India's population finds
itself locked out of this phenomenon. At least 40
per cent of the population cannot even read or
write.
The literacy in Andhra Pradesh, whose CEO
Chandrababu Naidu served as the World Bank's
poster child and was a regular invitee to Davos,
for instance, is about 54 per cent. It also has
the highest rate of economic suicides among
farmers. The way Naidu was kicked out in the
recent elections highlights the tension between
the imperatives of globalization and the needs of
the Indian people.
The IT sector, as well as many in the
pharmaceutical sector in India, want to knock
down the doors and embrace free trade. This has
the potential of securing them lucrative western
markets. The poor and illiterate, on the other
hand, gain little or nothing from this and stand
to lose substantially.
Take the small manufacturing sector. This group
has lost profoundly to cheaper and better quality
imports from China and other countries.
Similarly, Indian agricultural industry has
remained almost stagnant throughout BJP's tenure,
with real incomes actually declining. What works
for the knowledge-intensive industry, at least in
the short-run, is bad news for the
labour-intensive.
As much as Manmohan Singh wants to put a human
face on India's development, his government will
be subject to increasing pressures from outside
to privatize key sectors such as education,
health and infrastructure. These trends are
evident in most developing countries, and in most
places have led to increased disparity between
classes.
Regulatory as well as normative pressures will
make India conform to the new norms. With markets
taking over such key sectors, the have-nots are
likely to continue their lives in abject poverty,
unless the government can somehow build the
infrastructure or impart the skills they require
to participate in the new economic order.
The hands of the Congress government will thus be
tied. Any deviance from the globalization agenda
will be punished by the markets. Those benefiting
from access to foreign markets will also voice
their resentment internally. Under the Congress,
India is likely to continue the polarization
trend that we witnessed under the BJP.
Interestingly, these pressures on the Congress
government are almost a mirror image of those
that the BJP government functioned under. The
world worries about the resistance that the CPI
(M) will offer to continuing reforms. In fact,
the BJP faced similar pressures from within the
party, although springing from entirely different
motivations.
The BJP's erstwhile supporters include several
groups, including small manufacturers, who have
been adversely affected by globalization. Two
other close allies (which, like the BJP sprang
from the RSS and are part of the Sangh Pariwar)
include the Swadeshi Jagaran Manch (SJM) and the
Bharatiya Mazdoor Sangh (BMS).
These parties impeded BJP's pro-globalization
policies at various points. The SJM's mandate is
to block the multinationals from capturing the
Indian market, while the BMS, India's largest
trade union collective with approximately 6.5
million members, is supposedly responsible for
protecting the interests of industrial workers.
BJP's nationalist capitalist ideology before
coming to power was closely aligned with the
mandates of these parties. However, once in
power, the imperatives of government and
globalization forced the BJP to pursue a path
that diverged from its siblings.
International investors need not worry. The
Congress does not have any more retarding
pressures on it than the BJP did. Since the
policies furthered by the BJP were started by the
Congress and Manmohan Singh, the reforms are
likely to continue with alacrity.
But despite these reassuring signs, foreign
investors worry that India is not as stable as
they would like. They do not care whether it is
the BJP or Congress in place as long as the
pro-free-trade reforms continue. That the BJP
passed draconian laws like the Prevention of
Terrorism Act or that it was responsible for the
massacre of thousands in Gujarat has never
bothered the investors.
What worries them is that unlike many other
countries which attract large amounts of foreign
investment, India still has an active left,
which, with the help of disaffected constituents,
can theoretically put the brakes on the gravy
train.
However, on that account too, they need not
worry. The Indian Communist parties have shown
great pragmatism in the past. As a Bloomberg
columnist noted, when they aren't sloganeering,
the Indian Marxists are a realistic bunch. The
only Indian state where information-technology
enabled services are labelled essential and
therefore unable to go on strike is in West
Bengal, which is ruled by a Communist party.
What is in the interest of foreign investors, as
well as the Indian middle class is, however, not
necessarily also in the interest of the vast
majority of its population. Unfortunately, just
as the pro-market policies are likely to
continue, so is the plight of the common Indian.
While the pro-establishment think tanks like the
New Delhi-based National Council for Applied
Economic Research claim that by 2010, 84 per cent
of India's households will earn more than $1,000
a year (currently up to 35 per cent of the
Indians live on under $365/year although the
government gives a lower figure), this three-fold
increase is highly unlikely. For these Indians to
prosper, India's gains will have to become much
more broad-based, which, without substantial
government spending is not possible. And if
Manmohan Singh's recent statements are anything
to go by, that is not looking like a distinct
possibility.
The writer teaches strategy and policy at Cambridge University, UK.
_____
[4]
Outlook Web | Jun 30, 2004
COUNTERPOINT
An Open Letter To The Finance Minister
Asking banks to give more loans to solve the
problem of suicides caused by indebtedness is
like asking a neighbour to turn on their taps to
solve the problem of a leaking water storage tank
in your backyard.
VANDANA SHIVA
http://www.outlookindia.com/full.asp?fodname=20040630&fname=farmers&sid=1
______
[5]
The Economic and Political Weekly
June 12, 2004
Andhra Pradesh: Beyond Media Images
Y S Rajasekhara Reddy, the new chief minister has
given the impression of being a man who cares for
the classes neglected by Chandrababu Naidu's
model of development. Whether that is really so,
is extremely doubtful. That those classes have
reposed trust in the Congress Party under his
leadership is clear: the issues of irrigation and
employment appear to have contributed to
the defeat of the Telugu Desam Party, augmented
by the desire for a separate state in the
Telangana region. Having realised his debt to the
dissatisfaction, the new chief minister has
already promised heavy investment in major
irrigation projects and free power to farmers.
And as for Telangana, YSR has made no secret of
the fact that he has neither any understanding of
the cause nor any sympathy for it.
by K Balagopal
Chandrababu Naidu's defeat is the kind of event
that lends itself so well to analysis by
hindsight that the effort would be too tiresome.
In any case, analysts attached to the Left
parties have done that as ably as hindsight alone
permits, and there is no need to add to their
wisdom (by which it is not intended that they are
altogether wrong). In fact, Naidu (or 'Babu' as
he is known to his admirers in the state) is a
classic instance of a phenomenon that the west is
probably already very familiar with, but we are
only just waking up to: a pervasive media creates
a celebrity out of almost nothing, and then calls
in experts to explain why its creation turned out
to be nothing. Chandrababu is merely an ambitious
political schemer who has managed to con quite a
lot of intelligent people because he knows that
their hunger for the image he has put on - a
third world politician in the mould of a
corporate executive spewing IT jargon and the
verbiage of the World Bank's development policy
prejudices - is too acute for the normal
functioning of their other senses.
This is an effort, in part, to introduce his
successor. For if someone does not do so now, a
new myth could soon be in the making, and if the
analysts of Left parties participate in its
creation, as a homage to coalition politics, one
may have to spend a lot of time disabusing the
public of it. It is so easy to clothe Y S
Rajasekhara Reddy, MBBS with the image of the
good doctor who has turned to politics to cure
society, that even without the help of such
expertise, the media may itself involuntarily do
so. Reforms with a human face, which appears to
be the current slogan of the Congress, suits the
image so well.
The man is anything but a vendor of humane
visages. His rise in politics has been
accompanied by more bloodshed than that of any
other politician in this state. Not bloodshed for
some avowed 'higher cause', but bloodshed for the
narrowest possible cause: the rise of one
individual to political power and prominence. The
recent elections may very well have meant many
things in terms of popular aspirations, and one
has no desire to be cynical on that score. But in
the matter of the change of helmsmen, it has
merely replaced a man who would find nothing too
crooked if it is in his political interest, with
one who would find nothing too brutal. And for
both, the goal is the same: Power. Such precisely
are the men neo-liberalism wishes to find in
power in countries such as ours which it wants to
subordinate to its logic and interests. It would
be imprudent to regard this as an irrelevant
consideration on the ground of the Congress
Party's avowal of a 'human face', for firstly
that expression has no precise meaning, secondly
Congressmen are known to be capable of changing
course mid-stream, and thirdly India's rulers
irrespective of party have knowingly put
themselves in a position where they have little
leeway in matters of policy.
YSR (as he is known in short) belongs to Cuddapah
district of the Rayalaseema region of the state.
His constituency, Pulivendula, exhibits a most
distressing topography: endless stretches of nude
soil studded with gravel and relieved by rocks
that are even more bare. It is watered, using the
expression figuratively, by the Chitravati, a
tributary of the Penna (called Pennair in most
maps), itself hardly a river worth the name.
Today YSR wishes to be seen as a politician who
has responded to the needs of farmers and is
determined to do well by them, but in the nearly
three decades of his political life, he has not
been instrumental in adding one acre of assured
irrigation to the parched lands of the
constituency that has again and again returned
him or his brother (when YSR chose to go to
parliament instead) to the state sssembly.
His father Raja Reddy was, to begin with, an
ordinary farmer and a small time civil
contractor. He got converted to Christianity in
the days when even upper castes thought there may
be material benefit in doing so, and was
ostracised by the Reddys of his native village,
Balapanur. He shifted to Pulivendula, the tahsil
head-quarters. He quickly made a name for himself
as a rough and violent man with whom one had
better not get into a quarrel. To understand how
Raja Reddy took advantage of that and paved the
way for his son's rise in politics, one must know
something about Rayalaseema.
Viewing Rayalaseema
The Rayalaseema districts of Andhra Pradesh are
known for severe water-scarcity. Though as a
matter of convention the four districts of
Anantapur, Cuddapah, Kurnool and Chittoor are
said to comprise the region, in physical, social
and historical terms, only the Madanapalle
division of Chittoor district can be talked of in
the company of the other three. The rest of
Chittoor is in every sense, including average
rainfall precipitation, a distinct entity. The
other three districts have an average annual
rainfall of 618 mm, which is among the lowest in
the country. They lie in the basins of the
Tungabhadra and Penna rivers, which popular
memory associates with bounteous waters once upon
a time, but are today mere apologies of streams.
The catchment of these rivers gives only a
moderate yield, much of which has already been
dammed, rendering the river-beds dry along most
of the length of the rivers. But the canals from
the dams serve only about 4 per cent of the
cultivable land in the districts.
The major irrigation source of Rayalaseema,
however, used to be the excellent system of tanks
constructed by the Rayas of Vijayanagar, from
whom the region gets its name. Like the rulers of
Hyderabad and Warangal to the north, the Rayas of
Vijayanagar got constructed a system of tanks all
over the region to husband the scarce water
resources and channel them to the fields. Indeed,
most of the kings who ruled the various parts of
the Deccan, and not merely the Telugu country,
built such tanks to provide water for drinking
and irrigation to the populace. A characteristic
of the irrigation tanks of Rayalaseema is their
huge size, probably because rainfall there is
even more scarce, and demands even more
comprehensive husbanding of water than elsewhere
in the Deccan.
This tank system, as indeed everywhere in the
Deccan, is however in a shambles, now. Almost
nothing has been done for their upkeep during the
last several decades. Because of the denudation
of the land around, even the slightest rainfall
causes inrush of water into the tanks, breaching
the poorly maintained bund. The breaches merit
only the most cosmetic of repairs, and as a
result, the tank bunds are but bundles of
ill-repaired breaches. For the same reason, all
the tanks are heavily silted, so heavily indeed
that they look more like irregular-shaped
football fields than irrigation tanks. In the
days before chemical fertilisers, the silt was
prized by farmers as a source of fertile topsoil,
but now nobody is interested in taking the silt
to fertilise their fields, and so de-silting, if
it is to be done comprehensively, would be akin
to a mass waste-removal exercise. As such, it is
too costly for the funds governments are willing
to spare for the upkeep of traditional irrigation
systems.
The upshot is reliance on increasing use of
groundwater, through deeper and deeper borewells.
But this is a self-destructive game, for the
deeper farmers dig wells in competition with each
other, the deeper they will have to dig next time
round. The scarce rainfall cannot sustain this
technology-driven thirst for groundwater. In
2002, in the midst of the second successive year
of drought, a middle class farmer of YSR's
Cuddapah district had dug a borewell 1,000 feet
deep, and still did not find water. ("If only I
had persevered a little more, I may have struck
oil" was, however, the farmer's only response to
commiseration, for a sense of humour rarely
forsakes farmers, even in the worst of
adversities).
Violence-Prone Society
A harsh physical environment does not necessarily
lead to a harsh social life - there is no such
homology - but the peculiar history of
Rayalaseema combined with the region's scanty
endowment has led to a violence-ridden society.
The kingdom of the rayas was characterised by
devolution of the power of administration, more
particularly that of 'law and order', down to the
lowest level. This was even more true of the
border areas which were administered by men whom
the British Gazetteers called polegars
('palegadu' in Telugu and 'palayakkaran' in
Tamil). They (often) had small forts, and an
armed retinue of men, with whose help they
maintained order and assisted the collection of
revenue. Except in the most well-administered
periods, these men were not bound by any known
rules of conduct, not to speak of anything
resembling law. They behaved like - and in fact
were - war-lords. With the fall of the
Vijayanagar empire most of them became sovereigns
over a handful of villages and incessantly raided
neighbouring domains for booty and territory. It
is said - though there is no hard evidence in
this regard - that the villagers caught in this
conflict sought refuge with village strongmen who
could gather a retinue behind them and play the
role of protector. But of course, when they did
so, the villagers had to pay for the protection
by living in accordance with the protector's writ.
As the fall of the Vijayanagar empire was
followed by conflict between the British Indian
rulers and the rulers of Hyderabad and Mysore,
much of which took place over the Rayalaseema
districts, the warlords as well as any villager
who could gather an armed group around him
carried a double premium: the battling armies
wooed them, and the local people too needed their
help to protect them against the marauding
soldiers from outside the region. At the end, by
the time the British brought the entire region
into their control by the beginning of the 19th
century, there was left this residue of a social
practice: men of the dominant sections would
gather an armed gang around them to assert their
power, enforce their writ in the village and
fight off challengers to their power over
society. While the polegars were mostly of
non-cultivating communities such as boya and
patra, the practice of establishing dominance and
exercising power through the force of armed gangs
became a characteristic feature of powerful
landed communities, generically described as kapu
(husbandsman) but mainly of the reddy caste in
recent decades. The British, who successfully put
an end to the polegars by a carrot-and-stick
policy, found to their dismay that this residue
continued to disturb their notion of rule of law.
They christened these gangs 'village factions', a
name that continues to be used to this day.
The typical village faction was that of the
village headman, called reddy in Rayalaseema.
That appellation today refers to a dominant caste
which is present all over the state, and men of
the caste tag on reddy behind their names. But
that is a phenomenon of recent decades, more
particularly the latter three-quarters of the
20th century. The word has a complex history, one
moment of which is that it designated the village
headman in the Rayalaseema districts, in the days
when village administration was presided over by
the institution of hereditary headmen. This reddy
would protect his primacy in the affairs of the
village with the most aggressive zealousness. Any
challenger to his importance would have to
contend with a violent response from him. Though
we spoke above of a retinue maintained by such
strongmen, it was not a permanent gang maintained
only for fighting. Most of the retinue would be
ordinary farmers or labourers who come to the aid
of the Reddy when called upon to do so. They
would, it goes without saying, benefit in matters
where the reddy had the final say, but passionate
loyalty of the reddy's followers is a
characteristic of village factions. Their
attachment was never merely a matter of
rational calculation.
The dominance of the reddy would often be
challenged by someone in the village. He would
invariably be either a big landowner, or an
otherwise powerful man, e g, by virtue of his
closeness to the ruler of the area. From about
the time that the word reddy started signifying a
caste and not just hereditary headmanship, it is
seen that in most cases, the challenger is also a
reddy by caste, though there have been important
exceptions, especially where the militant boya
community is numerous. That man would gather a
group of villagers behind him and fight the group
of the 'reddy'. The people to gather behind him
would include, of course, his kith and kin, his
tenants and sharecroppers; it would include
persons who have suffered at the hands of the
'reddy'; it would also include persons who have
conflicts of interest or ego with the followers
of the 'reddy'; it would even include people who
are obliged to the challenger for their day to
day life or livelihood, even to the extent of
people who, by virtue of the village topography,
have to pass by his house or fields to reach
their own house or fields.
Once such a challenger emerges, or in the course
of his emergence, street fights between the two
groups break out at every conceivable instance.
The slightest material interest of every member
of the group has to be protected or realised by
force, and the slightest injury to every ego has
to be avenged by force. But everything turns
around the primary interest: the leader's
pre-eminence in the village, his honour, his
writ, his word. For this, lives are sacrificed in
a spiral of killings. Every death has to be
avenged with a death, every burnt house or
haystack with a burnt house or haystack, and
every devastated acre of land with a devastated
acre. The implements of fighting in the old days
were stones, sticks, and every implement made by
the human race for taming nature and making it
yield fruit. It was after the 1950s that crude
explosives, crude firearms and lately more
sophisticated weapons entered village factions.
It is an interesting aside that at each stage it
was the communists that were, in all innocence,
responsible for modernising the weaponry of
faction fights.
The village factionist of yore, as can be
imagined, was hardly an epitome of rationality.
By the time he was through with his energies he
would also be through with much of the property
he had: it costs a lot to fight court cases, look
after injured followers, repair burnt down
dwellings and replace hacked orchards, all to
keep his manly pride and moustaches intact. But
after the introduction of panchayat raj democracy
and rural development works, the brutality of
village factions acquired the sheen of
instrumental rationality. It was quickly realised
by the village factionists that the methods used
by them to protect the elusive social prominence
or importance, could be put to more practical use
for rigging polls and winning panchayat elections
at the village or block level, and monopolising
road and other public works contracts in the
village. This started earnestly in the 1960s.
The next and natural step was for a leader to
emerge from among the village factionists of an
area or from a town nearby, who would gather
support of all the powerful factionists of the
area, create factionists to fight the
recalcitrant, assist the faithful in defeating
their rivals, protect their crimes and make it
worth their while to indulge in crimes of
violence on his account in addition to theirs,
and make that the base of his rise in politics at
the district level and beyond, and the guarantee
of a monopoly of not small or local public works
but substantial civil contracts. It took a new
generation of men to see this possibility and
realise it. YSR was one of the pioneers of this
change, which has terrorised and devastated the
social and political life of the Rayalaseema
districts.
Communists as Catalysts
The communists played a peculiar catalyst's role
in all this. The undivided Communist Party of
India (CPI) had some base in the Rayalaseema
districts. Its leader Eswara Reddy was elected MP
from Cuddapah on four occasions starting with the
first parliament. It fought - or sought to fight
- feudal domination in the villages, but had to
contend with the culture of village factions. The
communists, from that day to this, have
unfortunately understood factionism as merely a
rather violent form of feudal domination, which
may only require a more violent response, and
nothing more. That village factions divide all
classes in the village vertically, from absentee
landlords to the poorest labourers, which
vertical division is accompanied by a degree of
felt loyalty to the factionist at the top,
thereby reproducing the animosity at the top all
the way down the line, and that such a state of
affairs is seen as the natural ordering of
society by all classes, has never been adequately
understood by them.
And so when the communists found it difficult to
organise the masses to fight a feudal landlord,
they encouraged and supported any upstart who was
willing to challenge the landlord's dominance.
All that they achieved was to create a new
factionist, who would discard the communists once
his purpose was done. Pulivendula was dominated
in the early years after independence by
Devireddy Nagi Reddy (known as D N Reddy), a
somewhat haughty landlord, mill owner, some time
zilla parishad chairman, and some time MP. YSR's
father Raja Reddy was willing to take on
D N Reddy, and the CPI assisted him by helping
him to win the block level panchayat elections.
Today, the CPI has all but left the district, but
Raja Reddy's legacy continues in the form of his
powerful son.
Raja Reddy established his credentials as a man
to fear by an incident that people still talk of,
nearly 50 years later. The town of Pulivendula
has a sizable colony of Erukalas, a scheduled
tribe, some of whom were known for their unruly
ways. They were despised but feared by the higher
castes, though it is rumoured that D N Reddy was
not above using their crimes for his ends. One
day one of them, Oosanna, tried to steal the
ornaments worn by a woman of the reddy caste in
the bazaar. When the woman struggled, that man
cleverly exclaimed that she was his wife and was
being disobedient. By the time people realised he
was telling a lie, he had slipped away. Later in
the day, Raja Reddy reportedly caught hold of
Oosanna, dragged him to a public place, poured
kerosene on him and burnt him alive. This
incident made Raja Reddy a feared man, and people
became willing to gather behind him in his
conflicts with established leaders. By and by he
established immense dominance in the area.
But he lacked money of the kind that would
sustain his further rise in politics. This
problem was resolved by a combination of chance
and brutality just about the time that YSR
entered politics. Cuddapah has deposits of the
mineral barytes, which was once upon a time not a
highly priced mineral. One of the mining leases
was held by Venkatasubbaiah of the balija caste.
Raja Reddy joined him as a junior
partner/supervisor (it is not clear which),
reportedly because Venkatasubbaiah believed he
would be useful in controlling the workmen. Round
about the mid-1970s, however, it was discovered
that barytes has use in petroleum refining, and
its price shot up. Raja Reddy wanted
Venkatasubbaiah to hand over the mining lease to
him and go. A prominent CPI leader and writer,
Gajjela Malla Reddy, brokered a deal whereby
Venkatasubbaiah would take Rs 11 lakh and leave
the mining lease to Raja Reddy. Venkatasubbaiah
refused, and was killed. The mining lease, passed
into YSR's hands.
For many years in the later half of the 1980s and
the early half of the 1990s, YSR's barytes mining
operation was the subject of one scandal after
another. Lease - or sub- lease, after barytes
mining became formally the monopoly of the A P
Mineral Development Corporation, only to be
sub-leased to the same previous lessees - would
be taken for a certain extent, but many times
more land around would be mined. Even a piece of
land on which stood a protected monument so
notified by the Archaeological Survey of India
was mined, and one and a half lakh tonnes of the
mineral (priced at Rs 600 per tonne) was taken
away by the time the government woke up and put a
stop to it. And there was the case of a villager,
Vivekanandam, whose private land of 1.8 acres was
also sub-leased to YSR by the Corporation. Though
that man went to court and obtained an injunction
against the sub-lease, YSR continued with the
mining and took away mineral worth Rs 5 crore.
The maternal uncle of the said Vivekanandam, a
retired government employee, Rajagopal, set out
to Hyderabad, to express his protest to the then
chief minister Janardhan Reddy, and to move the
high court again. The old man was set upon by a
gang in the middle of the state's capital, and
had his hands and legs broken. This was as
recently as 1992.
With the money flowing from the barytes mines in
his pockets, YSR was in a position to undertake
the transformation of 'village factions' into
full-fledged instruments of political and
economic domination at the highest level. There
were others of his period - the post-emergency
breed of educated, intelligent and utterly
cynical politicians - who made money from other
sources, such as for instance excise contracts,
and used that wealth in the same manner as YSR to
rise to prominence in Rayalaseema politics. The
money was used to buy the support of village
factionists. The factionist would be helped to
overcome his rivals and establish unchallenged
power over his area of operation. If a factionist
was too adamant and did not heed the call, a
rival would be funded to rise against him. A lot
of lives would of course be lost in the process,
but then that was, for these gentlemen, a matter
of no moment. Once a sufficient monopoly of
control over the local factionists was
established, the leader's political-economic
future was ensured. Elections would be concluded
in his favour, and his muscle-power would ensure
that he monopolised all the civil/excise
contracts he coveted. This sounds bland when
stated in this fashion, but the process involved
tremendous amount of violence and inaugurated a
veritable regime of terror in the area.
Manipulation of Election Process
Political parties and programmes have meant
nothing in Rayalaseema, more particularly
Cuddapah district. The only distinction in that
district has been: with YSR and against YSR.
Those who are with him can be in his party or in
any other party - not excluding the CPI - and
similarly those who are against him. On more than
one occasion he has exhibited his capacity to
ensure that a candidate to the assembly from his
own party who has got a ticket against his will
is defeated by a candidate of his choice
contesting on a Telugu Desam ticket. Elections in
Rayalaseema have meant open violence on polling
day to scare away voters and leave the field open
to bogus voting, taking away the ballot box to
stuff it with ballot papers stamped elsewhere,
preventing voters of the rival candidate from
entering the polling station, forcing voters to
show the stamped ballot paper to the local
factionist's man before putting it in the box,
and other acts of like nature.
Until recently, a rule followed by the Election
Commission was that in the event of death of any
candidate, the election would be postponed.
Killing defenceless candidates to get the poll
postponed is a method not unknown in the more
violent parts of our country. Rayalaseema is no
exception. In the assembly polls of 1989, YSR's
follower Nagi Reddy fought the Telugu Desam's
Palakondarayudu at Raychoti in Cuddapah district.
In the parliament polls of 1985, Palakondarayudu,
who was then a candidate for parliament, was
unsure of the support of the two main local
factions that ruled Raychoti town. So he is said
to have got an independent candidate, Guvvala
Subbarayudu killed and got the election
postponed. He thus gained time to rope in the two
factions, and succeeded in winning the election
held later. In 1989, polls were held
simultaneously for assembly and parliament.
Palakondarayudu was this time a candidate for the
assembly. Apprehensive that he may repeat his
victorious performance, YSR's man Nagi Reddy set
up a pliant man of their own faction, Avula Subba
Reddy by name, as an independent candidate, and
allegedly killed him the day before the election
to get the election to the assembly postponed. It
is inconceivable that this could have happened
without the knowledge and consent of YSR. In the
parliament poll that took place that day as
scheduled, there was an orgy of violence in which
five persons were killed in Raychoti town
including a polling officer by name Ahmedullah.
The polling officer was dragged out of the
polling station and murdered. The Congress
candidate was elected to parliament. The terror
created by YSR's group on that day was sufficient
for his candidate Nagi Reddy to carry the day
when the assembly poll for the postponed Raychoti
segment was later held.
Parallel with establishing themselves in power by
such means, these leaders set themselves up as
representatives of the region who would fight the
rulers of the state for justice to water-scarce
Rayalaseema. It has been the tragedy of
Rayalaseema that, unlike Telangana for instance
which has a vibrant political climate that throws
up activists close to the people, the same
leaders who have devastated the region's social
and political life with their strategies of gang
warfare have time and again doubled as saviours
of the people. But as their interest is merely
the furtherance of their political careers, such
espousal is short-lived and fruitless.
For about three to four years in the early part
of the 1980s, these leaders led major agitations
for irrigation water to the region. They held
lengthy 'padayatras' and boisterous protest
meetings. YSR was among those in the forefront.
But their interest tapered off once they
succeeded in putting pressure upon N T Rama Rao
to sanction the extension of the Telugu Ganga
project to provide irrigation water to parts of
Cuddapah district. Later, the Congress came to
power in the state, and many of the agitators
became ministers, but they did precious little
for the irrigation needs they had agitated for.
Subsequently the Telugu Desam Party came back to
power again, but this time YSR took care not to
be seen agitating for the rights of one region.
He had aimed his sights higher. He would dislodge
Chandrababu and become chief minister of the
state. Power, and power alone has been his
guiding light, at each stage of his career, much
like Chandrababu. Given the peculiar nature of
Rayalaseema society, brute force served YSR's
purpose in the initial stages, much as
unscrupulous manipulation did in Chandrababu's
case. But once he set his sights on Hyderabad, he
knew that other methods would have to be tried
out, and he has been game for that.
He worked quite systematically towards this end
and has succeeded. In the process he has given
the impression of being a man who cares for the
classes neglected by Chandrababu's model of
development. Whether that is really so is, to put
it politely, extremely doubtful. That those
classes have reposed trust in the Congress Party
under his leadership is clear: all analysis as
well as impressionistic views point to the issues
of irrigation and employment as central to the
defeat of the Telugu Desam Party, augmented by
the desire for a separate state in the Telangana
region. Economists too are agreed that poor
growth of employment opportunities, and poor
capital formation in agriculture, the latter
mainly because of low public investment, are two
among the negative characteristics of the Indian
economy's performance in recent years. Too
categorical an analysis of voters' preferences is
a risky business, but it appears reasonable to
suppose that the dissatisfaction generated by
these factors lies behind the victory of the
Congress. YSR realised it in the course of his
pre-election padayatra which brought him face to
face with much dissatisfaction regarding issues
on which - barring free power to farmers - he had
never taken any stand till then. Having realised
his debt to the dissatisfaction, he has already
gone on record promising heavy investment in
major irrigation projects, and free power to
farmers, which will encourage private investment
to the same end. If he has not issued any
immediate policy statements in the matter of
employment, that will be declared to be
understandable because it is by no means an easy
matter. And as for Telangana, YSR has made no
secret of the fact that he has neither any
understanding of nor sympathy for that cause.
But it is doubtful that he has any real
convictions in regard to the first two issues
too, other than the realisation that they have
been useful instruments in his ascension to
power. If freedom to all prisoners were to serve
that purpose, he would equally readily have
emptied all the state's jails, without holding
any philosophy of punishment commensurate with
the act. These may appear to be points not worth
labouring at length, and it may even be cleverly
said, as the Hindi saying goes, that we are
concerned that the fruit be a mango, and not that
the tree be a mango tree.
But if correcting economic policy distortions is
what the aspirations revealed by the elections
are about, we must note that change in irrigation
policy from Chandrababu's exclusive espousal of
drip irrigation to a more realistic programme is
not sufficient by itself. Such change is not by
itself inimical to the ruling policies being
prescribed in the name of reforms. The whole
gamut of the policies concerning resources,
opportunities and governmental responsibilities
will have to be addressed, even if they have not
been voted about in bringing YSR to power. There
is little evidence that YSR is committed to a
different view of these matters than Chandrababu,
or that he is willing to devise ways of standing
up to the pressure that the World Bank and other
instrumentalities of neo-liberalism have been
exerting in these matters. Much of what he is now
heard saying against Chandra babu's brand
of neo-liberal economic philosophy he picked up
in the run up to the elections, and was never
part of his way of looking at the economy.
It is also to be noted that the forces distorting
India's economy to serve a variety of external
interests inimical to those of the poor and
needy, have not been content with prescribing any
transparent economic policy imperatives at all to
suit their ends. They have indulged in a number
of devious measures behind the backs of the
people, with the active connivance of the rulers.
Chandrababu was a willing collaborator in this,
and YSR is not proof against it. The economic
philosophy ruling the world, namely that
resources, opportunities and governmental
assistance of all kinds are optimally distributed
when they are put unreservedly at the service of
those who can augment them with the most
investment and generate from them the most
income, is easily understood when it is plainly
stated, and easily dissented from if one has the
slightest conviction that progress should be
everybody's progress, not at some unspecified
date in the future, but with reasonable
immediacy. But that policy prescription has not
been content with such transparent debates. It
has sought to work itself into our polity by
opaque devices and has succeeded wherever it has
found local collaborators among those in power.
Those who believe that YSR will resist where
Chandrababu was willing are fooling themselves.
_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/
Buzz on the perils of fundamentalist politics, on
matters of peace and democratisation in South
Asia. SACW is an independent & non-profit
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