SACW | 20 April 2005

sacw aiindex at mnet.fr
Tue Apr 19 16:48:28 PDT 2005


South Asia Citizens Wire  | 20 April,  2005

[In Solidarity with the Indo Pak Citizens March for Peace > 
http://march4peace.blogspot.com/  ]

[1]   Pakistan - India:
- India-Pakistan joint peace march: 22 Indians arrive today in 
Pakistan (Waqar Gillani)
- President Musharraf's two victories - on points ( M.B. Naqvi)
- US equations with India and Pakistan - Two pipelines, two dilemmas 
(M B Naqvi)
- India, Pakistan Take A Big Stride Forward (Praful Bidwai)
- Crossing The Peace Bridge - The bus is a historic success (Praful Bidwai)
[2]  India: Tunami - Hit areas being saffronised (K.Jayaprakash)
[3]  Upcoming events:
(i) JAC demo against threats, attacks and harassment to women by some 
extremists in the name of religion (Karachi, April 20, 2005)
(ii)  Kashmir Solidarity Day (Bombay, 20 April 2005)
(iii) Lecture: "Nepal - The Completion of a Coup?" by Chitra K. 
Tiwari (Montreal, May 15, 2005)


--------------

[1]  [ Pakistan - India ]

Daily Times - April 20, 2005

INDIA-PAKISTAN JOINT PEACE MARCH: 22 INDIANS ARRIVE TODAY IN PAKISTAN

BY WAQAR GILLANI

LAHORE: As part of an India-Pakistan joint peace march from the 
shrine of Saint Nizamudidn Aulia in New Delhi to the shrine of Saint 
Bahauddin Zakariya in Multan, 22 Indians will cross into Pakistan at 
Wagah today (Wednesday).

The Indians will be accompanied by nine Pakistanis who had crossed 
into India last week for the march. The walk was contrived by an 
informal alliance of non-government organisations, including the 
Pakistan Peace Coalition and the National Alliance of Peoples' 
Movements in India. Originally, 180 people were scheduled to 
participate in it. It will continue till May 11.

The Joint Action Committee for Peoples' Rights, an alliance of over 
30 NGOs in Lahore, on Tuesday chalked out a plan to receive the 
delegates at Wagah. It has also planned their activities for the 
three days they will stay in the city.

The group will walk to Shalimar Garden on Wednesday before wrapping 
up for the day. On April 21, they will reach the Lahore High Court 
and on March 22 they will leave for Multan via the Grand Trunk Road.

The peace activists have been invited to two dinners, one by the 
South Asia Free Media Association (SAFMA) and the other by the Lahore 
University of Management Sciences (LUMS).
Karamat Ali of the Pakistan Institute of Labour Education & Research 
(PILER), one of the main organisers, told Daily Times that the 
Indians were originally denied visas. "They were only given 
permission to enter Pakistan after intervention by the federal 
interior minister," he said

The Pakistani High Commission in New Delhi granted visas to just 22 
of the 140 people who applied, he said. The Indian group is led by Dr 
Sandeep Panda[y].

Dr Panda[y], who is from Lucknow, proposed the march plan during a 
joint convention of the Pakistan-India Peoples' Forum for Peace and 
Democracy (PIPFPD) at Karachi in 2003.


o o o o


PRESIDENT MUSHARRAF'S TWO VICTORIES - ON POINTS
By M.B. Naqvi

[April 19, Karachi]
April 16 saw two victories of President Pervez Musharraf - partial 
and questionable from common man's viewpoint. His cricket diplomacy 
has succeeded and the Indians decided to make the most of the 
occasion - pushing forward their own agenda, especially over what 
Pakistan calls the core issue: Kashmir. By laying down the outer 
parameters of negotiations on Kashmir - India will never accept a 
change in political boundaries in Kashmir while being ready to 
discuss the subject - the Congress government negotiators have 
ensured that what will be discussed is more Confidence Building 
Measures in Kashmir, making the Line of Actual Control into a soft 
border. But Pakistan is going to call the further negotiations on 
Kashmir as its own - and its patron, US' - victory. But more on that 
presently.

The second was the substantial success in negotiations with Pakistan 
Peoples Party also became apparent that day when Asif Ali Zardari, a 
PPP leader, landed safely in Lahore but was not allowed to meet PPP 
workers and sympathizers. The latter were prevented by force from 
giving him a rousing reception and taking him to his Lahore Bilawal 
House in a rally. The Musharraf-created Authority drew a line at 
public reception and the rally. That was that. The General was laying 
down the outer limits of how far can the Army-PPP rapprochement go. 
Asif remains undismayed and will carry on with talks with the 
General's men. That is a .75 victory: the remaining .25 per cent 
marks will have to go to PPP and its top leader Benazir Bhutto who 
has remained persistent in relying on American good offices and 
abhorring the idea of taking to the streets. PPP seems set to provide 
the fourth PM to the General-President, may be BB herself.

The net result of Musharraf's three day Delhi visit is that the two 
powers will continue to discuss Kashmir virtually ad nauseam, 
irrespective of any results, though Kashmir-related CBMs will 
continue to be proposed and implemented. For practical purposes that 
is a solution of sorts for the problem. For the rest more 
communication links between the two countries, including 
Munabao-Khokrapar rail link, will be opened, especially in J and K 
State. Consulate Generals in Karachi and Mumbai will probably be 
reopened. Relaxation of the visa regime does not seem to be on the 
cards. It will thus be a controlled relaxation.

Taking up the first success first, a few quick points can be made. 
This deal on LOC was available to Pakistan all these years since the 
Shimla Accord of July 1972. Why was not the opportunity seized that 
could have come Pakistan's way anytime it showed its readiness to 
accept all the implications of Shimla agreement. Feeling inferior in 
armaments, Islamabad stayed quiet for 18 years. It can now be seen 
that it was creating a deterrence to India in the interval during 
which conditions in Indian-Administered Kashmir ripened for Pakistan 
to play a part; by 1989-90 conditions in IAK became conducive for a 
Pak role: Latter's putative nuclear deterrent had, in Gen. Aslma 
Beg's words, come in operation by roughly 1987; Kashmiris had 
launched a protest movement against India's misrule and rigging of 
elections. This gave Pakistan an opening. It manoeuvred and helped 
convert that peaceful and secular movement for self determination 
(basically for independence) into an Islamic Jihad by infiltrating 
armed Jihadists, the veterans of Afghan Jihad, into IAK.

Aslam Beg was right up to a point. India did stay deterred for over a 
decade; by stretching Vajpayee's Lahore visit by bus could be taken 
as consciously being deterred. Kargil and Islamic militants' alleged 
Delhi attack on Dec 13, 2001 brought on an undeclared change in 
India's nuclear doctrine. It threatened to invade Pakistan in Jan 
2002, its much vaunted nukes notwithstanding. It was a threat that 
was credible to friend and foe alike. Superficially the Indians 
showed a readiness to let Pakistan use its nukes first. It would then 
wipe out the seven or eight urban-industrial centres of Pakistan from 
the face of the earth. It is not hard to see what was the meaning of 
the threat: it actually involved using nukes first. For, no power in 
its senses would let another nation nuke its territory first and only 
later will it move. That strains credibility of the 'no first use' 
idea. It seems nonsense.

Although, the Kashmir Jihad has continued after a fashion in its own 
momentum, Pakistan had washed its hands off it in Sept 2002 to end 
the 10 month long eyeball-to-eyeball confrontation. Heavens be 
praised that some one blinked first to ward off the implied nuclear 
threat to Pakistan. One is simply not directly concerned with what 
might have happened in, or to, India, through one hates the idea of 
nuclear destruction of even Indian cities where many decent people 
live. But what is relevant here is the denouement of Jihad: Kashmiris 
are not an inch closer to their Azadi after having buried up to 70 or 
80 thousand youngmen and a horrendous loss of limbs and property. If 
their peaceful political movement 1989 had been left alone, the 
Kashmiris would certainly have gained something more than what is on 
offer today - and no more than a few thousand would have gone to jail.

One hates to quote oneself. It is bad form. But the Pakistani 
generals could have read any of one's columns dealing with problems 
created by Indo-Pakistan nukes after May 1998. In each of them one 
concluded that the competitive explosions of that year have frozen 
the Kashmir issue dead. Neither side can threaten the use of force on 
Kashmir. A war between the two is now impossible until one is willing 
to countenance a totally unacceptable form of destruction on both 
sides. No cause is worth that kind of destruction. Happily the two 
major governments in South Asia have now begun proceeding on a more 
realistic bases over contentious issues, no matter how they have 
arrived at this commonsense view.

As for PPP-Musharraf talks the outside parameters have been agreed. 
Should the agreement finally go through, the Army-created system of 
governance - that is acceptable to the US at least until 200 - has 
also been accepted by Benazir; the terms are likely to include her 
own Prime Ministership while President Musharraf not only stays with 
his powers but PPP is impliedly promising to uphold them, including 
being ready to suppress those who oppose them. Her situation after 
the agreement is implemented will be similar to that of Mr. Shaukat 
Hussain today.

Benazir and PPP, in the light of the experience of their two terms in 
office in 1990s, is that they accept the supremacy of IMF-WB advice 
in economic policy-making without question then and will do so again; 
in politics she has allowed the Army to run foreign policy and 
security matters to her own exclusion; she accepted Army's supremacy 
- what with Eighth Amendment infested constitution and meekly 
accepting the summary sacking of herself as PM twice. She accepted 
the military's supremacy then and seems to be willing to accept that 
now. So what is the difference between Messrs Shujaat Hussain and 
Shaukat Aziz, on one hand, and Benazir and Asif, on the other? She 
has to show the reason to 150 million Pakistanis why should she be 
preferred over Shaukat Aziz, Shujaat Hussain and Mir Zafrullah Jamali 
and indeed over the general who matters. As for the enlightened 
moderation, PPP's record in office gives no indication of these fine 
qualities.


o o o o


Deccan Herald - April 20, 2005

US EQUATIONS WITH INDIA AND PAKISTAN
TWO PIPELINES, TWO DILEMMAS
By M B Naqvi

Both India and Pakistan are keen to come closer to America but can 
they pay the political price for it?

The US and China sent their Number Two personages to South Asia 
recently, seeking strategic partnership with both India and Pakistan 
in recent weeks. Both leaders received a yes answer from Islamabad as 
well as New Delhi. But the backdrop of strategic competition between 
the US and China is obvious enough. Will this Sino-US rivalry not 
create dilemmas for Pakistan as well as India?

The problem that may first occasion such dilemmas is predictable: 
There are two proposals of gas pipelines from Turkmenistan and Iran 
to Pakistan and India respectively. American oil company UNOCAL wants 
to transport gas from Turkmenistan through Afghanistan to Gawadar 
port in Pakistan. This is clearly an American-sponsored project and 
the names of such luminaries as Condoleezza Rice, Zalmay Khalilzad, 
and the current Afghan President Hamid Karzai were associated with 
UNOCAL for executing the project before they became a part of the 
American administration while Karzai has become Afghanistan's 
President.

The other project of the Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline has been 
approved by all the three parties. India's Petroleum Minister would 
visit Pakistan next month. This project has made the US unhappy 
because it wants to isolate Iran and pressurise it on the nukes' 
issue. So much so that Rice herself expressed opposition to this 
project on Indian soil.

Apropos the expected conflicting pulls of the US and China, there was 
a tripartite meeting in Islamabad just the other day comprising 
Ministers from Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan. These 
Ministers gave a strong push to the Turkmenistan project. Afghanistan 
gave an assurance of providing adequate security to the pipeline. 
Pakistan was always ame-nable to that idea. Since the US stands 
behind the project, it looks as if progress on this particular 
project is likely to be fast. The American and the Afghans are quite 
upbeat about the possibility of Afghanistan being tranquil enough to 
permit this project, though there are doubts.

What significance is to be attached to the Turkmenistan project? 
Doubtless Turkmenistan, and Afghanistan and the US are keen that this 
project be implemented and not the Iranian gas pipeline to India. 
That makes Pakistan's role crucial: would it still go along with Iran 
and India against the US advice?

The US has reasons to oppose the Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline 
because it would mean stable exports of Iranian hydrocarbons that 
will strengthen Iran economically. The fact that Pakistan was the 
host for this tripartite conference with Turkmenistan and Afghanistan 
sh-ows that Pakistan seems to be going along with the American wishes 
far more enthusiastically than the Iranian pipeline. Can it be said 
it is less than enthusiastic about the Iranian pipeline project? 
Pakistan has always opted for Americans, working closely with it on 
all significant issues for decades. Its image has been one of an US 
satellite.

Main questions arise about India. Indo-US relations are excellent and 
expanding fast and of course the Americans are going to give India 
dual-use technology, latest military hardware and reactors' 
technology. The American intention of making India a great global 
military power is well-known. Would not Indian foreign policy be 
compatible with the American line? As it is, Americans are popular in 
India; the latter's 350 million strong middle class loves America. So 
does the Indian business community. Indian businesses see their 
future in the emerging globalised world as an OECD like country.

But there is another side to it. Indian foreign policy has been 
fiercely independent. Jawaharlal Nehru had helped found the 
Afro-Asian and later the Non-Aligned Movement, and was a respected 
third world leader. He had refused to align himself either with the 
West or the Soviet Union in their titanic cold war. That tradition 
may still have life in it.

The Indian foreign policy's second strand was to spread the 
anti-nuclear mov-ement globally. India was long a champion of a 
non-nuclear wo-rld. It was also the mainstay of the global 
anti-nuclear movements. Can the Congress Government follow 
enthusiastic pro-American policies as the BJP could? The Congress is 
certainly not anti-US. But to align itself uncritically with the US 
the way Pakistan did and as indeed is now so aligned, may not be easy 
for India. It is psychologically not easy for Congressmen to give up 
the Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline.

Technically it is possible for both the pipelines to be laid. India 
can also buy gas or may be oil at Gawadar from UNOCAL. The Iranians 
can continue supplying gas to India directly while even more gas can 
be transported to India from Gawadar. The Indian demand is likely to 
be large enough to take in supplies from both sources.

But the real question is: Can India be as pro-American as America 
wants it to be? American diplomacy is making a mighty heave for 
dominating Central Asia. America needs India's cooperation, with the 
two pooling their political resources in Central Asia. Can India go 
that far?

India has to think of its growing relations with China. The obvious 
effort is to cooperate with China comprehensively. India is unlikely 
to give up at least the appearances of non-alignment. The American 
thrust in Central Asia is to pre-empt the Chinese influence. India 
cannot simultaneously march with the US and China in Central Asia. 
Americans can be trusted to make demands that are incompatible with 
non-alignment before it delivers key goodies. Delivery generally 
follows compliance.

Doubtless, both India and Pakistan are happy to come closer to the 
US. But are they ready to pay the expected political price? This 
price can be in terms of domestic political difficulties, especially 
for Pakistan, and also in terms of the image abroad. Being closely 
aligned with America means running the risk of becoming isolated from 
what is the third world.


o o o o


Inter Press Service - April 18 2005

POLITICS: INDIA, PAKISTAN TAKE A BIG STRIDE FORWARD
Analysis - By Praful Bidwai

NEW DELHI, Apr 18 (IPS) - Barely 10 days after launching a landmark 
bus service connecting the  two divided parts of Kashmir, India and 
Pakistan Monday took a giant stride forward by  declaring that the 
peace process between them is ''irreversible'' and will be pursued 
sincerely  and purposefully.

      This is the cheerful outcome of a three-day hurricane-speed 
visit to India by Pakistan  President Pervez Musharraf, which was 
originally proposed as a trip to watch an India-Pakistan  cricket 
match.

      New Delhi and Islamabad - and the citizens of India and Pakistan 
- both made big gains by  agreeing to more confidence-building 
measures and steps ''to enhance interaction and  cooperation across 
the LoC [Line of Control in Kashmir], including agreed points for 
divided  families, trade, pilgrimages and cultural interaction.''

      But overshadowing all other issues is their commitment to 
discuss the highly contentious  issue of Jammu and Kashmir ''in a 
sincere and purposeful and forward-looking manner for a  final 
settlement''. This is a significant departure from the stated 
positions of the two  governments on Kashmir.

      They have held just one tentative round of talks on Kashmir, 
outlining their concerns but  reaching no agreement. In public, Prime 
Minister Manmohan Singh has ruled out any redrawing  of boundaries. 
Musharraf has, equally, rejected conversion of the 740-kilometer LoC 
into a  permanent international border. But they have now agreed to 
discuss the issue with a view to  reconciling differences.

      With this, Musharraf has succeeded in doing what he has long 
wanted to do - put the Kashmir  issue on the negotiating table as a 
top priority.      The Indian side, for its part, gained a good deal 
by highlighting its own concerns: about  terrorism sponsored by 
Pakistan, especially in Indian Kashmir, and taking up other 
contentious  issues along with Kashmir for simultaneous discussion, 
including trade and economic  cooperation. It has also persuaded 
Musharraf that there cannot be a rigid time frame for  resolving the 
Kashmir issue.

      India and Pakistan are now moving, in General Musharraf's words, 
''from conflict management  to conflict resolution.''     This 
''win-win'' deal has generated unprecedented hope in both Pakistan 
and India. There is  optimism that the half century-long hot-cold war 
between the two now-nuclear rivals can end,  leading to a lasting 
peace.

      The India-Pakistan ''joint statement'' issued at the end of 
Musharraf's visit recognises that a  ''historic opportunity'' has 
been ''created by the improved environment in relations'' between 
India and Pakistan since they broke the ice last January and began a 
bilateral dialogue. The  dialogue has been sustained by ''the 
overwhelming desire of the peoples of the two countries  for durable 
peace'' and by civil society initiatives, making the peace process 
irreversible.      The public mood in both countries today is 
radically different from that which marked  Musharraf's last visit to 
India in July 2001, when he held an official summit meeting in Agra 
with  former prime minister Atal Behari Vajpayee.

      The Agra summit was a disaster. The two governments could not 
even agree to a joint  statement. Mutual suspicions ran high in both 
countries. There was a wide gap in perception  about each other's 
sincerity about making peace after the mid-sized military conflict 
they  fought two years earlier at Kargil in Kashmir -- as nuclear 
weapons-states.     

Terrorism was growing in India, particularly in Kashmir, as was 
popular alienation from the  Indian state and its use of repression 
against movements for secession, autonomy or  independence. Neither 
India nor Pakistan believed it could dissuade the other from using 
coercion and covert action.     Today, hope is in the air. And both 
sides are willing to trust and cooperate with each other.

       What has changed since Agra? Besides personal chemistry between 
Musharraf and Indian  leaders, a number of developments have 
occurred.     The most important is the terrorist attacks of Sept. 
11, 2001 that decisively altered the status  of Pakistan as the 
principal source of support for the Taliban and Osama bin Laden-style 
jihadi  fundamentalism, to an ally in the fight against terrorism. 
The United States has exercised a  great deal of pressure on Pakistan 
to dismantle its elaborate covert network of support to  Islamic 
militants in Afghanistan and Kashmir.

      No less important was Musharraf's realisation that in post-9/11, 
it would be impossible to  sustain a link between militant Islamic 
organisations and the state. He thus decided to put  Pakistan back on 
the road to moderation and modernity, which brought him face-to-face 
with  Islamic extremists in the country. He is now a targeted man - 
the narrow escape in an  assassination attempt in December 2003 just 
shows how close the president came to death's  door.

       At the end of 2002, there was also a largely legitimate and 
fair (although not quite free)  election to the legislature of Indian 
Kashmir. This produced a coalition government, which  advocates 
reconciliation and peace between different political currents. 
Meanwhile, the All-Parties Hurriyat Conference, which represents 
secessionist leaders in  Indian Kashmir, itself split. The majority 
faction welcomes the India-Pakistan peace process, but  has a 
confused attitude towards holding a dialogue with India (but not with 
Pakistan). This has  eroded its credibility.

       In addition, as Musharraf himself told editors on Monday, 
economics has now displaced  geopolitics as the determinant of a 
country's status and its relations with others in today's  world. 
India's recent heightened economic profile has helped underscore the 
potential benefit  for Pakistan through increased cooperation and 
trade with its neighbour.     Above all, there has been a major 
change in public opinion in both countries owing to  increased 
people-to-people contacts, resumption of sporting ties suspended for 
years, and  travel across the border by diverse groups of people.

      In 2002, as a million soldiers were eyeball-to-eyeball at the 
border for 10 months, there was  virtually no movement of civilians. 
Over the past year, by contrast, between 8,000 and 10,000 people from 
each country have  crossed the border to visit relatives, attend 
conferences, or do plain tourism. There has been an  explosion of 
cultural contacts and collaboration between the two countries' 
flourishing  commercial film industries. Hundreds of Pakistanis have 
visited India for medical treatment,  whose quality is relatively 
high, but cost low.

      All this has changed mindsets, especially since the dialogue 
process was formally launched in  January 2004, leading to scores of 
confidence-building measures and enhanced people-to-  people 
interaction.    

This constitutes real progress and gives room for hope. But it won't 
be easy for India and  Pakistan to crack the Kashmir nut. Their 
leaders will have to try exceptionally hard to reconcile  mutual 
differences and rival claims, so that their contested borders 
eventually become  ''irrelevant''. Carrying the opposition, 
especially diehard conservatives, with such a compromise  formula 
will be even tougher.

      All this will demand public education and imaginative 
strategising, as well as great political  skill. But it is worth the 
effort. (END/IPS/AP/WD/IP/PB/SI/05)


o o o o


Praful Bidwai Column
April 18, 2005
--
CROSSING THE PEACE BRIDGE
THE BUS IS A HISTORIC SUCCESS

By Praful Bidwai

April 7, 2005 will go down as a glorious day in South Asian history, 
when India and Pakistan took a momentous step towards peace by 
launching the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service across the Line of 
Control in Kashmir. The bus is without doubt the single greatest 
confidence-building measure (CBM) the two governments have 
implemented since their dialogue process began 15 months ago. It 
holds the potential to open up new avenues of cooperation and lead to 
a peace which ends the continuous, bitter 58 year-long hot-cold war 
the two rivals have fought-at an enormous cost to their peoples' 
welfare.

Symbolically, the bus has brought calm and peace to the very road 
along which the Pakistan-sponsored "tribal invasion" of Kashmir took 
place in 1947, igniting the first war between the two newly 
independent states. But the significance of the bus goes beyond mere 
symbolism. At the substantive level, too, it is the result of, and 
will contribute further to, the powerful and growing urge for peace 
and reconciliation amongst Indian and Pakistani citizens, and 
especially the Kashmiri people. It will facilitate contact and 
interaction, including trade, between Kashmiris divided by the LoC. 
Its operation will entail unprecedented cooperation between the 
Indian and Pakistani governments, including a coordinated effort 
against the tiny minority of fanatical militants who have threatened 
to turn the bus into "a coffin".

One only wishes the Kashmiri people had been given a more prominent 
role in the launching of the bus service and that India's national 
leaders and Kashmiri politicians hadn't hogged all the limelight.

Yet, the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus became possible because the two 
countries' leaders exhibited an unusual degree of political decency, 
maturity and flexibility by reconciling their sharp differences over 
the documents to be carried by the passengers. Their determination 
was put to the test for more than a year. However, the real credit 
for the success goes to the people of Kashmir, and their aspiration 
to be associated with the dialogue process between New Delhi and 
Islamabad. The bus represents a reassertion of their shared heritage 
and common identity. It offers them a unique opportunity to deepen 
their mutual interaction.

That's why all political currents in Kashmir, barring fringe groups 
of extremists, unreservedly welcomed the bus and celebrated its first 
journey. Even National Conference leader Omar Abdullah, who rarely 
misses a chance to criticise the Mufti Mohammed Saeed government, 
enthusiastically joined the Chief Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh and Ms 
Sonia Gandhi in flagging off the first bus. Mirwaiz Umar Farooq, the 
chairperson of the moderate faction of the All Parties Hurriyat 
Conference, says he would like to lead a delegation of separatists 
across the LoC on the bus.

The practical significance of the bus goes well beyond reuniting 
Kashmiri families divided by the LoC. Their number is relatively 
small-a few thousand-and only a fraction of the number of divided 
families from Punjab, pre-Partition Uttar Pradesh or Sindh. The 
people of Pakistani Kashmir are ethnically, culturally and 
linguistically different from those of the Kashmir Valley. They have 
much more in common with people who live in the border areas of J&K 
like Uri, Rajouri, Poonch and Karnah and speak the Pahari dialect. 
This is close to Punjabi, not Kashmiri. The Mirpuris and the Valley 
Kashmiris share much less in common in language, food or customs 
than, say, Hindu, Sikh and Muslim Punjabis or Sindhis do.

The fortnightly bus service will carry only 720 people from Srinagar 
to Muzaffarabad in a whole year-a small number compared to the 
Delhi-Lahore bus across the Wagah border. However, that does not 
diminish the importance of the bus as a bridge between the two parts 
of Kashmir or as a facilitator of Pakistan-India people-to-people 
interaction and trade. Many fruit-growers from the Valley, who 
annually produce 1.3 million tonnes of fruit worth Rs 1,500 crores, 
are hoping the bus will open up a trade link to the Pakistani, and 
eventually, the Central Asian and Gulf market.

If it is successful, the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus will trigger 
demands for other road links-between Rawlakote and Poonch, and 
Sialkot and Jammu/Suchetgarh. There's every likelihood that the 
Kashmiri people will embrace the idea of India-Pakistan rapprochement 
and peace with the same enthusiasm with which the peoples of the two 
Punjabs have already done-as the recent visits of their Chief 
Ministers, the holding of a Punjabi literary conference, and high 
Pakistani attendance at the Chandigarh cricket match all showed.

The official responses to the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus were 
noticeably different. India gave it top priority and a high profile 
through a major ceremony attended by the Prime Minister Singh and Ms 
Sonia Gandhi-despite militant attacks and planting of explosives 
along the road. Pakistan Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz was meant to 
flag off the bus from the reverse direction, but cancelled the plan, 
leaving the job to "Azad Kashmir" Chief Minister Sikandar Hayat Khan.

Earlier, Pakistan had poured cold water over the request by a number 
of Indian Kashmiri leaders, including Deputy Chief Minister Mangat 
Ram Sharma, People's Democratic Party leader Mehbooba Mufti and 
CPI(M) MLA Yusuf Tarigami, to take the first bus. It said the bus 
service was primarily meant for divided Kashmiri families. It has 
since said it would allow leaders from Indian Kashmir in if New Delhi 
allows Hurriyat office-bearers to take the bus to Pakistan. There are 
fears in Islamabad that India will use the bus as a substitute for 
substantive talks on the "core-issue" of Kashmir. India must allay 
these fears by fulfilling its promise to negotiate a solution to the 
Kashmir issue with the utmost earnestness and in the same 
accommodative spirit it showed in regard to the bus.

The Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus has had a three-fold impact. For one, 
it has strengthened the forces of peace and reconciliation on both 
sides of the LoC and in the two Kashmirs, as well as the 
determination of Kashmiris to make a success of it. To them, the bus 
represents a tangible triumph of peaceful and non-violent approaches 
to resolving conflicts-long after violent and fanatical approaches 
have proved bankrupt.

For another, the bus has isolated extremists (who oppose the bus) 
from the overwhelming majority of people (who strongly support it). 
The four obscure jehadi militant groups which threatened the bus and 
claimed responsibility for setting fire to the Tourist Reception 
Centre in Srinagar are only one component of this extremism. The 
other component is formed by individuals like Jamaat-e-Islami chief 
Syed Ali Shah Geelani and Dukhtaran-e-Millat leader Asiya Andrabi, 
who says the bus is a "sell-out" and that Pakistan has "betrayed the 
Kashmiris," like it did the Taliban in Afghanistan.

By contrast, the majority faction of the Hurriyat has further 
mellowed its stand. It has long been reluctant to meet Prime Minister 
Manmohan Singh even during his visits to the Valley. Now, under the 
impact of the bus, it's planning to seek a meeting with him as well 
as with President Pervez Musharraf when he visits India. Mr Geelani 
stands marginalised because of his deeply unreasonable and sectarian 
opposition to the bus. The bus is thus changing political equations 
for the better.

Yet another positive effect of the bus was the joint Hindu-Muslim 
celebration of Navaratra at an old Durga Temple in Srinagar-for the 
first time in 15 years. Among the participants were Chief Minister 
Sayeed, three of his Cabinet ministers, and Democratic Freedom Party 
leader Shabir Ahmad Shah.

For a third, the bus has forced the Indian and Pakistani governments 
to come together to combat jehadi militants who threaten to blow it 
up. This collaboration between rival governments, which have long 
stalked each other to the point of using militant groups to cause 
mayhem, is itself noteworthy and deserving of unstinted support.

The underlying premise on which their cooperative effort is founded 
is even more welcome. This, quite simply, holds that the militants 
represent nobody in Kashmir. They cannot even remotely claim to be 
speaking for a significant section of Kashmiri opinion. Anyone can 
get hold of a gun in Kashmir and command the power to create chaos, 
fear and disorder. But they count for nothing as far as public 
opinion goes.

Travelling by the bus has imposed an unfair and onerous burden upon 
the Kashmiri people. The first batch of Indian passengers had to take 
huge risks. Three of them got off the bus at the last moment, 
reducing the total number to 19, which is 10 short of that cleared by 
Islamabad. Ordinary people should not have to become martyrs or easy 
targets for fundamentalist jehadis. So both us citizens and our 
governments must do all they can to change this-not just by providing 
security to passengers, but by discrediting the very idea that the 
bus is a legitimate target.

Finally, the bus should and can contribute to a larger objective: 
free unobstructed movement of people across the border and resolution 
of all major outstanding issues between India and Pakistan, however 
contentious. Lasting peace between the two is the key to South Asia's 
future as a modern, pluralist and prosperous region which is home to 
almost a fifth of humanity.-end-


______


[2]

Indian Express -  April.17,2005

TUNAMI - HIT AREAS BEING SAFFRONISED

by K.Jayaprakash

Alappuzha,April 16; Tsunami has changed the political landscape
aswell of the most devasted Arattupuzha and Alappad panchayaths in
the State.with a well -designed roadmap ,the R.S.S has been
succesfully safronising the CPM ruled Arattupuzha in Alappuzha
District and the Congress - controlled Alappad in Kollam district

Seva Bharathi,the social service wing of R S S ,has alraedy opened
its wing of the it`s two karyalayas in Arattupuzha and another two in
Alappad,so far an alien land for the saffron ideology.The RSS has
appointed four top Swayamsevaks to control and co ordianate the
functioning of the Seva bharathio karyalayams and openend the
alappuzha district in kayamkulam for the effective monitoring of the
karyalayams at Arattupuzha

The RSS is planning mega schemems for these two panchayaths.Top RSS
sources told this paper that in both panchayathsit would set up
cultural and educational centers for students and youths on the
proper path.The women in the are will be trained to engage in self -
employment ventures .It will also deploy more medical personal at
it`s mediacal camps being run in this areas.Houses will be built and
fishing craft and fishing gears will be distributed

Soureces said that 2000 sq fett cultural centre in Arattupuzha would
be constructed soon and an individual in this area has alraedy agreed
to donate the required land.The schemes were formally announced at
afunction attended by Viswa hindu Parishath all-India working
president Ashok Singhal last week.He distributed five fishing
craft,net and yamaha engines at the function

The sevabharathi swung into action in both panchayaths on the day
they were hit by the Tidal waves .While the political parties
including the CPM and the NGOs retreated after the first few
weeks "services " the seva bharathi activists continue their
services .They still distribute food products in these ares,ensure
medical camps to help the needy,conduct classes for students and help
reconstruct even the small family- owned temples damaged in the
Tsunami.The RSS has deployed 100 swayamsevaks each in these two
panchayaths to carry out these services

This has really helped the RSS make in roads in to the are,A large
number of people ,especially youths are actively assosiating with the
SevaBharathi activities.R.Prakash,Chairman of Intiative for
Dalit,Adivasi Devolopment and Studies-kerala(IDADS-KERALA) observes
that there was agood flow even from the Dalit communities to the RSS
in the area.RSS sources said that nearly 1,500 persons had
participated in the march by it to the Alappuzha collectrote a couple
of weeks ago through it had expected only 400 to 500 persons

But it feared that the changing socio- political equations in the
area are creating communal tension.The Christaian organisations also
are trying to get a footing in the area.Nearly 27 Christaian
organisations have been permitted to construct houses in the
Arattupuzha panchayaths.The RSS says that the housing project is a
carrot with which the christaian organisations will entice the people
in to their fold. R.Prakash ,working among the Dalits in the
panchayaths ,says that communal tensions is palpable even now in the
areas.

______

[3]     [Announcements on Upcoming events ]

(i)

dear friends,
Pl. join us on below programme.

Joint Action Committee for peace and democracy (JAC) is holding a 
demonstration against continued threats, attacks and harassment to 
women by some extremist groups in the name of religion.

demonstration will be held on April 20, 2005, at 3:45 pm sharp in 
front Karachi Press club.

hope all of u n ur friends would join us.

sincerly ur's
lala hassan pathan
karachi


o o o o o

(ii)

Kashmir Solidarity Day

  April 20th, Opp. Eros theatre, Church Gate [Bombay] at 5.30 pm &

Candle light vigil at 6.30

The peace processes in Kashmir is suddenly in the front pages.  The 
people of Kashmir, torn between the two states of India and Pakistan 
want their voice to be heard in any settlements regarding their 
future.  The last decades saw militancy and human rights violations. 
About 70,000 Kashmiris were killed in militancy and counter militancy 
operations.  15,000 women have become widows and thousands simply 
disappeared.

  For the last 16 years there is a permanent Section 144 applied all 
through Kashmir and there are about a half a million Indian soldiers 
in the villages and towns.  The armed forces have special powers 
according to the Armed Forces (Special Powers Act) to shoot any 
person on mere suspicion and to destroy any property.

  The Jammu and Kashmir Coalition of Civil Society has given a call to 
observe April 20th as Solidarity Day on the occasion of the first 
death anniversary of Aasia Jeelani, a woman human rights activist, 
who was martyred on 20th of April 2004 while she was monitoring the 
elections in Lolab, Kupwara district of Kashmir.

  In response to such a call, a public awareness program in form of a 
solidarity is being held before Church Gate opp to Eros theatre, on 
April 20th at 5.30 pm. The program will be followed by a candle light 
vigil in memory of all those who are dead and disappeared. We request 
your presence and solidarity to the people of Kashmir in their quest 
for peace and justice.

Sincerely,


Krisna Kant (56058908)

Divya Iyer (98695-88813)

Joe Athialy (24931241, 98692-63407)

o o o o


(iii)

CERAS (South Asia Research and Resource Center) in Cooperation with 
SAWCC (South Asian Women's Community Centre)
Present a Public Lecture

"NEPAL - The Completion of a Coup?"
Sunday, May 15, 5 pm, SAWCC, 1035 Rachel east, Montreal  (corner of 
Christophe-Colombe; METRO Mt-Royal and bus # 11)

Lecture by Dr. Chitra K. Tiwari
For further information: Tel. 485-9192,  346-9477, 276-3921
ALL WELCOME


Chitra K. Tiwari, Ph.D.
_________________________________________________________________________

Dr. Chitra K. Tiwari is a free-lance political analyst and 
commentator of international affairs with a focus on South Asian 
affairs. A former Assistant Professor of international affairs and 
political science at Nepal's Tribhuvan University, Dr. Tiwari holds a 
Ph.D. in international affairs and political science (1987) from the 
George Washington University, Washington, D.C.

Dr. Tiwari has published many articles on comparative politics and 
international relations in various scholarly international journals. 
He is the co-author of Nepalese Political Behavior published from 
Denmark (1994). At present he works on a free-lance basis as an 
independent political analyst and contributes articles to The 
Washington Times. He has appeared in several major radio and TV shows 
in the world - BBC, Voice of America, NPR, ABC NEWS, White House 
Chronicle, Democracy Now Radio and TV, Radio Australia, etc - as 
commentator on political developments in Nepal.

He has also addressed the workshops and seminars as an expert 
panelist to discuss Nepal's civil war at several universities and 
think tanks in the United States and Canada - The Asia Society (New 
York), The Heritage Foundation (Washington, D.C.), Cornell 
University, Williams College, George Mason University, The American 
University, Illinois State University, Simon Fraser University 
(Vancouver, Canada). His special articles to The Washington Times 
covers analysis of Maoist insurgency in Nepal. He has published 
exclusive interviews of the Maoist leaders Prachanda and Dr. Baburam 
Bhattarai for The Washington Times.


_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/_/

Buzz on the perils of fundamentalist politics, on matters of peace 
and democratisation in South Asia. SACW is an independent & 
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